Fund Outflows Hamper Crypto Growth in January while Whales Bolster BTC Reserves
Despite volatile price movements, whale activity demonstrates Bitcoin’s strong potential in the upcoming months as BTC holdings increase.
A significant outflow of funds for digital asset investment products marked the last week of January. As reported by CoinShares, cryptocurrency funds managed by BlackRock, Bitwise, Fidelity, Grayscale, ProShares and 21Shares experienced a total net outflow of $500 million. Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) was the anti-leader in outflows for the month, with its funds losing $2.2 billion.
Bitcoin has taken center stage with outflows totaling $479 million, while short-Bitcoin positions attracted additional inflows amounting to US$10.6 million. However, CoinShare’s analysts conclude that the main reason for the outflows was that most of the BTC seed capital was formed before Bitcoin Spot ETFs were approved on January 11.
Whales Steadily Grow their BTC Holdings
Amid fund outflows and the accompanying drop in the price of Bitcoin to the $38,000 mark, many crypto whales holding over 1,000 BTC took advantage of the resulting discount to further boost their holdings, as shown by the data provided by the analytics firm IntoTheBlock.
Despite the volatile price movements, whale activity demonstrates a strong belief in Bitcoin’s potential for the upcoming months, while their Bitcoin holdings continuously increase during market downturns.
Despite the current performance, many experts, including analysts at Standard Chartered and Galaxy Digital, have previously been quite optimistic about the prospects for Bitcoin Spot ETFs. For example, according to an earlier research note from Galaxy Digital, the projected Bitcoin Spot ETF inflows could reach up to $14.4 billion. Such substantial investment inflows could significantly impact the asset’s price and push it to the $100,000 mark by the end of 2024.
However, there are also contrary opinions about the future prospects of the leading cryptocurrency. Based on a January 2024 survey of retail investors conducted by Deutsche Bank, more than one-third of respondents anticipate Bitcoin’s value dropping below $20,000 by the following January. Only 15% of participants believe the price will range between $40,000 and $75,000 by the end of the current year.
Marion Laboure and Cassidy Ainsworth-Grace, analysts from Deutsche Bank, underscored the anticipated impact of the recently introduced spot Bitcoin ETFs on advancing the institutionalization of the well-established digital asset. However, their recent report “What’s next after the Spot Bitcoin ETF?” notes that contrary to this expectation, most inflows into these ETFs have come from retail investors.
It is still too early to draw unambiguous conclusions about the direction the BTC price will take in the coming months, but the opinion about the upcoming bull market prevails among most experts.
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