Glassnode: Bitcoin’s Surge Above $69,000 Returns Investor Positions To Unrealized Profit, Expected To Boost Market Sentiment
In Brief
Glassnode noted that BTC has broken through several critical levels, marking one of the first signs of positive price momentum since late June.
Cryptocurrency market intelligence firm Glassnode published its latest analysis indicating that Bitcoin’s spot price briefly surpassed $69,000 this week, representing a 6.8% decrease from its all-time high (ATH). However, this price increase has crossed some of the major technical levels based on both technical indicators and on-chain metrics, marking one of the initial instances of positive price momentum since late June.
By examining the depth of drawdowns in relation to the ATH over time, it becomes evident that the current drawdown aligns more closely with the upward cycle of 2021 than with the bear markets of 2019 and 2022.
Additionally, the market’s resilience can be assessed finding similarities between the spot price with key technical pricing levels. This recent rally has allowed the market to overcome the combined resistance of the 200-day moving average and the 111-day moving average, which are closely monitored by BTC investors.
Notably, the 365-day simple moving average has historically functioned as either support or strong resistance at critical macro market inflection points. Recently, it provided support over the course of the yen-carry unwind on August 5th, and it has since established the lower boundary of the ongoing macro uptrend.
Additionally, Glassnode pointed out the importance of evaluating unrealized profits for the Short-Term Holder cohort, which serves as a useful indicator of recent buyers’ sentiment in the market. Presently, the spot price is above the average acquisition price for all sub-age groups within the Short-Term Holder cohort. This indicates that nearly all recent buyers are experiencing unrealized profits, emphasizing the sense of relief this rally has brought to investors.
Glassnode Observes Intensifying Cash-and-Carry Activity
Meanwhile, the Bitcoin derivatives market has witnessed substantial growth since the introduction of the first perpetual swap instruments in 2016. These derivatives markets have brought depth and liquidity to the asset class, facilitating more advanced trading and hedging strategies. This week, Open Interest throughout perpetual and fixed-term futures contracts reached a new ATH of $32.9 billion, indicating a notable rise in overall leverage within the system.
The Bitcoin market is experiencing ongoing positive momentum, as the spot price has surpassed some of the important technical and on-chain price levels. This upward movement has returned investor positions to an unrealized profit state, which is expected to positively influence market sentiment. Additionally, open interest in futures markets has seen growth, recording a new ATH. The CME Group’s dominance in this space highlights a growing involvement of institutional investors in digital assets, indicating that a cash-and-carry strategy may be in effect, Glassnode noted.
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About The Author
Alisa, a dedicated journalist at the MPost, specializes in cryptocurrency, zero-knowledge proofs, investments, and the expansive realm of Web3. With a keen eye for emerging trends and technologies, she delivers comprehensive coverage to inform and engage readers in the ever-evolving landscape of digital finance.
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Alisa, a dedicated journalist at the MPost, specializes in cryptocurrency, zero-knowledge proofs, investments, and the expansive realm of Web3. With a keen eye for emerging trends and technologies, she delivers comprehensive coverage to inform and engage readers in the ever-evolving landscape of digital finance.
