Bitcoin’s Bullish Resurgence: Is the Bear Market Over?
In Brief
Bitcoin’s recent recovery has sparked debates on its future trajectory, with some arguing it remains in a bull market, while others view it as a temporary buying opportunity.
The cryptocurrency market has experienced significant turbulence recently, with Bitcoin (BTC) taking center stage. Following a sharp decline that rattled the industry, Bitcoin has staged an impressive recovery, leaving investors and analysts debating its future trajectory.
A key metric, the Bitcoin bull-bear market cycle indicator, has made an unexpected shift from bearish to bullish shortly after signaling a potential extended downturn. This quick reversal has ignited many debates on whether the recent price drop was a temporary buying opportunity or a harbinger of further challenges ahead.
A prominent crypto trader, Plan B, is among the many who say that Bitcoin remains in a bull market.
The Bull/Bear Market Cycle Indicator
The Bull/Bear market cycle indicator is basically like a weather forecast for BTC’s market sentiment. It monitors Bitcoin’s ups and downs by comparing the Profit & Loss (P&L) Index to the 1-year Moving Average (MA). If the indicator is above zero, it’s a good sign for the crypto, indicating a bull market, where Bitcoin usually enjoys its biggest gains. But if it drops below zero and its yearly average, it’s a warning that a bear market might be on the horizon, possibly leading to a price dip.
Ju Anticipating a Bullish Horizon for BTC
Ki Young Ju of CryptoQuant has noted that on-chain data indicates that the Bitcoin bull market is on the rebound. In an analysis he shared with his large X audience, Ju pointed out that the BTC bull-bear market cycle indicator, which measures the market sentiment evolution, has returned to a bullish area after briefly falling into a risky zone.
Although Ju warns that he would reconsider his position if the market doesn’t bounce back over the next 14 days, he thinks this shows that the bull market is still alive.
As evidence of growing interest, Ju has also brought attention to new statistics revealing that, in the last 30 days, about 404,448 Bitcoin have been transferred to permanent holder addresses.
He predicts that major organizations, including governments, businesses, and conventional financial institutions, would disclose their Bitcoin purchases within a year, which might make ordinary investors who were hesitant because of macroeconomic worries regret their selections.
BTC Still on the Rally
Details of Bitcoin’s present bull cycle are provided in Bybit’s Crypto Insights Report, which also offers new viewpoints on whether the rally has peaked or whether additional spikes are coming.
A key figure in shaping the report, Nathan Thompson, stated that BTC fluctuations “don’t always follow standard patterns,” and research shows that the present rally has the potential to continue.
We want to help our customers understand the market forces that will determine the future of BTC by analyzing historical data and looking at macroeconomic trends.
The paper goes on to talk about how Bitcoin’s price action is at odds with conventional macroeconomic indicators. Institutional demand, mostly through Bitcoin Spot ETFs, has been a major factor in price changes. Recent changes in ETF flows have been very similar to changes in Bitcoin’s market dynamics.
Long-term Holders Still Accumulating BTC
New data from Glassnode’s newsletter suggests that major players and long-term holders (LTHs) are once again buying Bitcoin, which has a profound impact on the market’s dynamics. The current pattern shows that Bitcoin’s value may rise despite the market’s continued volatility.
The highest point of the Accumulation Trend Score (ATS) is now at 1.0, which means that there has been a lot of accumulation over the past few weeks, continuing the trend that’s been going on in the last 100 days.
LTHs, who are very important to the Bitcoin community, are once again saying they really want to hold on to their assets. The seven-day change in LTH supply is back to being positive, which shows that people are less likely to sell and more likely to stock up on their holdings. This is a key sign that shows whether investors are positive or negative about the long-term and short-term future of BTC.
The report highlights that the market’s persistence in finding support at this level indicates fundamental strength, indicating that traders are still expecting strong market growth in the near run.
Opinions Divided, Some Skepticism
The indicator turned bearish after a long time, since early 2023. Similarly, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index dropped to new lows, touching the “Extreme Fear” zone with a 17 score in the first week of August. Since then, the score has been oscillating between the “neutral” and “fear” zones, currently standing at a “fear” reading of 29.
Some Bitcoin investors think the latest price drop was a bear trap, in which seasoned traders artificially decrease the asset’s price to lure short-sellers.
Riding the Bull or Facing the Bear?
In the volatile world of cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin’s recent performance has left the market at a crossroads. While key on-chain indicators and institutional activity suggest a return to bullish momentum, underlying skepticism remains.
As long-term holders resume accumulation and institutional demand persists, Bitcoin’s resilience is undeniable. However, the market’s future trajectory is far from certain. Investors are left to ponder whether to ride the bullish wave or brace for potential bearish surprises, with the next few weeks likely to offer critical clues to Bitcoin’s long-term direction.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, please note that the information provided on this page is not intended to be and should not be interpreted as legal, tax, investment, financial, or any other form of advice. It is important to only invest what you can afford to lose and to seek independent financial advice if you have any doubts. For further information, we suggest referring to the terms and conditions as well as the help and support pages provided by the issuer or advertiser. MetaversePost is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice.
About The Author
Victoria is a writer on a variety of technology topics including Web3.0, AI and cryptocurrencies. Her extensive experience allows her to write insightful articles for the wider audience.
More articles
Victoria is a writer on a variety of technology topics including Web3.0, AI and cryptocurrencies. Her extensive experience allows her to write insightful articles for the wider audience.
